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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Larry Elliott

Warning signs of US recession may be bad news for Kamala Harris

Composite image of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump speaking at events
Harris is seeking to fend off Trump’s attacks on the Biden administration’s economic record. Photograph: AP

Donald Trump’s message to US voters has been consistent as he seeks to win a second term in the White House: the economy under Joe Biden has been a disaster.

Until recently the hard data has not supported Trump’s argument. The US has been comfortably the fastest-growing of the G7 leading industrial nations since the Covid pandemic. Unemployment has been low by historic standards. America’s self-sufficiency in energy meant it suffered a less severe inflation shock than Europe after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

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