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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Heather Stewart

War in Iran erodes the chancellor’s headroom and exposes the UK’s fragility

Smoke and flames rise at the site of airstrikes on an oil depot in Tehran, Iran
Airstrikes on an oil depot in Tehran. Four weeks into the conflict in the Middle East, headroom chat is back. Photograph: Sasan/Middle East Images/AFP/Getty

It is with no pleasure that I must report a depressing domestic byproduct of the war in the Middle East: headroom chat is back.

Of course, shifts in investors’ appetite for gilts – UK government bonds – are trivial in the context of the bloodshed in Iran and beyond. But as a result of the economic chaos unleashed, gilt yields, which determine the interest rate on government borrowing, have resumed their grip on British politics. And one of Rachel Reeves’s proudest boasts, the £23bn in “headroom” she had built up against her fiscal rules, is in jeopardy.

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