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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
Christopher McKeon

Vote counting to begin in Greater Manchester mayoral by-election

More than two million people were eligible to vote in the Greater Manchester mayoral by-election (Annabel Lee-Ellis/PA) - (PA Wire)

Andy Burnham’s replacement as Greater Manchester mayor will be announced on Friday following the largest by-election in British history.

Votes from Thursday’s by-election will be counted throughout the day, with the result expected to be declared in the afternoon.

More than two million people were eligible to vote in the contest, triggered by Mr Burnham’s election to Parliament last month.

Polling ahead of Thursday’s vote suggested Labour candidate Bev Craig, currently the leader of Manchester City Council, was on course to win by a comfortable margin.

Her main rival is likely to be either Reform UK’s Sian Astley or the Green Party’s Geraldine Coggins.

Hindley Community Fire Station being used as a polling station for the Greater Manchester mayoral election (Annabel Lee-Ellis/PA) (PA Wire)
Hindley Community Fire Station being used as a polling station for the Greater Manchester mayoral election (Annabel Lee-Ellis/PA) (PA Wire)

Other candidates were Phil Eckersley (Conservatives), Richard Kilpatrick (Liberal Democrats), Marlon West (Restore Britain) and Marcus Farmer (Independent).

Mr Burnham voted at a polling station in Golborne, near Wigan, late on Thursday, casting his ballot less than an hour before polls closed.

After voting finished on Thursday, Labour deputy leader Lucy Powell said her party had run “a really positive campaign” and been “on the front foot, setting out our stall, showing what Labour in power can do”.

She said: “Through our candidate Bev Craig and our new Prime Minister, Andy Burnham, we have heard from many people who are giving Labour another look. Labour is offering hope.

“If the voters of Greater Manchester put their trust in Labour, we will all work tirelessly to put Bev’s promises into action.”

Andy Burnham cast his vote in the by-election to choose his successor as Greater Manchester mayor late on Thursday (Annabel Lee-Ellis/PA) (PA Wire)
Andy Burnham cast his vote in the by-election to choose his successor as Greater Manchester mayor late on Thursday (Annabel Lee-Ellis/PA) (PA Wire)

Ms Coggins said her party had seen “former Labour voters move to the Greens in droves” and shown it could “challenge the larger parties”.

She said: “A new prime minister who is popular in this region meant that we were contesting this election in unusual circumstances. However, we found real discontent across Greater Manchester with how Labour have been running this place, and the people want a change of direction.

“This includes clear commitments on rent controls, affordable housing and to make sure people are put before profit.”

Votes will be counted on Friday, with the winner expected to be announced in the afternoon.

Polling suggests Labour candidate Bev Craig is on course to win the Greater Manchester mayoralty by a comfortable margin (Annabel Lee-Ellis/PA) (PA Wire)
Polling suggests Labour candidate Bev Craig is on course to win the Greater Manchester mayoralty by a comfortable margin (Annabel Lee-Ellis/PA) (PA Wire)

It is the first time a by-election has been necessary to fill a vacancy for one of England’s combined authority mayors.

The cost of the contest is expected run into the millions, with the 2024 mayoral election costing the taxpayer £4.7 million.

That contest saw Mr Burnham re-elected with 63% of the vote under the “first past the post” system, in which the candidate with the most votes is declared the winner.

He also received the most votes in each of Greater Manchester’s 10 local authority areas.

For Thursday’s by-election, voting changed back to the “supplementary vote” (SV) system used in the mayoral elections in 2017 and 2021.

If any candidate wins more than 50% of the first-choice votes, they are declared the winner.

If no candidate has more than 50% of first-choice votes, all but the top two candidates are eliminated and the count moves to a second round.

The ballot papers of the eliminated candidates are counted again and if there are any second-choice votes for the two remaining candidates, these are added to their first-choice totals.

The candidate with the highest overall total of first and second-choice votes is declared the winner.

In 2021, the last time Manchester was contested under the SV system, Mr Burnham won in the first round with 67% of first preference votes.

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