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Latin Times
Latin Times
Politics
Pedro Camacho

Venezuela Lacks Conventional Deterrence but Retains Capacity for Guerrilla-Style Resistance, War Analysts Say

Members of the Bolivarian militia during a parade in the streets of the Guarataro neighborhood in Caracas on August 19, 2025. (Credit: Photo by PEDRO MATTEY/AFP via Getty Images)

The sharp expansion of U.S. military activity in the Caribbean since August has prompted analysts to assess how Venezuela could respond if Washington moves beyond pressure and toward direct military action against Nicolás Maduro's regime.

The deployment includes the arrival of the USS Gerald R. Ford, F-35 fighter jets operating out of Puerto Rico, expanded naval patrols, roughly 15,000 U.S. personnel in the region, and a declared blockade of Venezuelan oil tankers carrying sanctioned crude. While the Trump administration initially described the buildup as a counter-narcotics operation, analysts note that its scale exceeds what is typically required for drug interdiction.

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