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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Larry Elliott

UK inflation might be easing – but don’t expect prices to fall

A man and woman shop for fruit and vegetables in Maidstone.
The annual rate of food inflation now stands at 16.7%. Photograph: Fraser Gray/Rex/Shutterstock

Britain’s cost of living crisis is still raging but inflationary pressures are now easing. Fears of a wage-price spiral look overblown. Bank of England interest rate setters will take comfort and the peak in official borrowing costs is close at hand.

Those were the three big conclusions from the latest Office for National Statistics data showing a sharper than expected drop in the annual consumer prices index measure of inflation, from 10.5% in December to 10.1% in January. Prices normally fall in the first month of the year due to post-Christmas sales, but the drop was larger in January 2023 than in January 2022.

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