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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Richard Partington

UK economy shows surprising resilience – but that may not last

A smiling woman waves an England flag amid a crowd celebrating a World Cup match at night
The path of the England men’s football team to the World Cup semi-final helped to feed consumer spending. Photograph: Jill Mead/The Guardian

In the spring the International Monetary Fund warned Britain faced the heaviest economic blow from the Iran war among the world’s most advanced nations. Almost six months into the conflict, on the surface, the UK appears to be proving the forecasters wrong.

The latest official figures show the UK maintained its pole position as the fastest growing economy in the G7 in the first half of 2026. Despite the gloomy international backdrop and yet more domestic political uncertainty, consumers have largely continued spending and business investment has boomed.

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