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USA Today Sports Media Group
USA Today Sports Media Group
Sport
Matt Erickson

UFC 302 predictions: Five blowout picks in Newark, but are upsets looming?

The UFC is back in New Jersey, and the lightweight belt is on the line at the top of the bill.

UFC 302 (pay-per-view/ESPN/ESPN+) takes place Saturday at Prudential Center in Newark, N.J.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

Get pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.

Randy Brown vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Randy Brown

Records: Brown (18-5 MMA, 12-5 UFC), Zaleski dos Santos (24-7-1 MMA, 10-3-1 UFC)
Past five: Brown 3-2, Zaleski dos Santos 3-2
Division: Welterweight
Rankings: Brown honorable mention
Odds (as of 05.31.24): Brown -180, Zaleski dos Santos +150
Junkie pick results: Brown 10, Zaleski dos Santos 1

Alex Morono vs. Niko Price

Alex Morono

Records: Morono (24-9 MMA, 13-6 UFC), Price (15-7 MMA, 7-7 UFC)
Past five: Morono 3-2, Price 1-4
Division: Welterweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 05.27.24): Morono -260, Price +210
Junkie pick results: Morono 9, Price 2

Kevin Holland vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk

Kevin Holland

Records: Holland (25-11 MMA, 12-8 UFC), Oleksiejczuk (19-7 MMA, 7-5 UFC)
Past five: Holland 3-2, Oleksiejczuk 3-2
Division: Middleweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 05.31.24): Holland -290, Oleksiejczuk +235
Junkie pick results: Holland 11, Oleksiejczuk 0

Paulo Costa vs. Sean Strickland

Sean Strickland vs. Paulo Costa

Records: Costa (14-3 MMA, 6-3 UFC), Strickland (28-6 MMA, 15-6 UFC)
Past five: Costa 2-3, Strickland 3-2
Division: Middleweight
Rankings: Strickland No. 2, Costa No. 13
Odds (as of 05.31.24): Costa +210, Strickland -260
Junkie pick results: Strickland 9, Costa 2

Islam Makhachev vs. Dustin Poirier

Islam Makhachev vs. Dustin Poirier

Records: Makhachev (25-1 MMA, 14-1 UFC), Poirier (30-8 MMA, 22-7 UFC)
Past five: Makhachev 5-0, Poirier 3-2
Division: Lightweight
Rankings: Makhachev No. 1, No. 2 pound-for-pound; Poirier No. 5
Odds (as of 05.31.24): Makhachev -650, Poirier +470
Junkie pick results: Makhachev 10, Poirier 1

Check out all the main card picks below.

Makhachev
vs.
Poirier
Costa
vs.
Strickland
Holland
vs.
Oleksiejczuk
Morono
vs.
Price
Brown
vs.
Zaleski dos Santos
MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks
87-46

Makhachev
(54%)

Strickland
(66%)

Holland
(81%)

Morono
(71%)

(62%)
Mike Bohn
@MikeBohn
88-45
2014 Champion

Makhachev

Strickland

Holland

Morono

Brown
Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
86-47

Makhachev

Strickland

Holland

Morono

Brown
Nolan King
@mma_kings
86-47
2023 Champion

Makhachev

Strickland

Holland

Morono

Zaleski dos Santos
Ken Hathaway
@1khathaway
86-47
2018, 2022 Champion

Makhachev

Strickland

Holland

Morono

Brown
Matthew Wells
@MrMWells
83-50

Makhachev

Costa

Holland

Morono

Brown
Matt Erickson
@MattE
81-52

Poirier

Costa

Holland

Morono

Brown
Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
80-53

Makhachev

Strickland

Holland

Price

Brown
Simon Samano
@SJSamano
79-54

Makhachev

Strickland

Holland

Morono

Brown
Brian Garcia
@thegoze
75-58
2017 Champion

Makhachev

Strickland

Holland

Price

Brown
Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv
73-60

Makhachev

Strickland

Holland

Morono

Brown
George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
66-67

Makhachev

Strickland

Holland

Morono

Brown

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 302.

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