Turkey arrive at SoFi Stadium on June 25 with two defeats from two in Group D, already eliminated from knockout contention, while the United States need only a point to confirm their place in the last 32 as group winners. The Turkey vs United States World Cup 2026 prediction market has the hosts as clear favorites, with the best available price on a United States win sitting at +102. This matchup is the final act of Group D, and the stakes could not be more asymmetric.
The United States have collected six points from six, scoring six goals and conceding just one. Turkey have zero points, zero goals scored, and three conceded. The Turkey vs United States odds reflect that gap directly: Turkey are priced at +260 or better to win, a result that would be among the more significant upsets of the group stage. Mauricio Pochettino’s side enter this fixture with momentum, rhythm, and a home crowd at one of the tournament’s showcase venues behind them.
