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Fortune
Fortune
Jim Edwards

Trump’s war on the Fed has created a ‘twist steepener’ in the bond market, and it’s hurting the dollar

Photo: US President Donald Trump speaks at "The People's House," a White House immersive experience across the street from the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, during a tour on August 22, 2025, in Washington, DC. US President Donald Trump on Friday said he would fire Federal Reserve governor Lisa Cook if she did not resign, after he excoriated her over claims of mortgage fraud. (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP) (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images) (Credit: Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP)
  • A “twist steepener” in the bond market is widening the gap between short- and long-term U.S. Treasury yields. This dynamic is dragging the dollar lower, exacerbated by President Trump’s political interference in the Fed, weak growth, and inflation risks, according to analysts at Convera. The dollar is down 9.69% on the DXY index year to date.

The S&P 500 hit a new record above 6,500 for the first time ever yesterday, and futures contracts on the index were down only a little before markets opened this morning in New York, indicating that investors are relatively sanguine about equity valuations being as high as they were right before the dotcom crash of 1999–2002.

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