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The Conversation
The Conversation
Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

Trump’s unpopularity shields Labor in Newspoll and other polls despite fuel crisis

Although Anthony Albanese’s ratings are down in three new federal polls, Labor has maintained a comfortable lead, with the combined vote for the Coalition and One Nation at 46–47% (steady in Newspoll, down one in Redbridge and down three in Fox & Hedgehog).

A Newspoll question finds the US action against Iran is very unpopular, while both the Redbridge and Fox & Hedgehog polls show the petrol crisis is overwhelmingly blamed on Donald Trump or the Iran war. Redbridge has Trump at -55 net favourable in Australia. Trump is currently shielding Labor from a backlash over the fuel crisis.

A national Newspoll, conducted March 23–26 from a sample of 1,232, gave Labor 31% of the primary vote (down one since the late February Newspoll), One Nation 26% (down one), the Coalition 21% (up one), the Greens 12% (up one) and all Others 10% (steady).

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