The one nice thing about the prevalence of gambling sites and gambling-related information is that we can clearly define “expectations” for each NFL team. While a fan base can have completely inflated and unrealistic expectations (cough, Cardinals fans last year even though we tried to warn you, cough), people who make a living working for sportsbooks have to refine the process in order to protect their bottom line. They have to get as close to an exact expectation as humanly possible so that they can get your money.
So, we will take those “expectations” and apply our own judgments. While most of the time the house wins, here are a few opportunities where teams will rise above their “expectations” as defined. (For reference, I am using FanDuel’s 2023 win totals.)
