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Comment

Peter Martin, Visiting Fellow, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University

This economic model tipped the last 2 elections – and it's now pointing to a Coalition win

Coalition Scott Morrison Labor Lisa Cameron

This election will be won by the Coalition and Prime Minister Scott Morrison if the economic models perform as expected – and they usually do.

A model refined in 2000 by then Melbourne University economists Lisa Cameron and Mark Crosby found that most federal election results in records going back to 1901 can be predicted pretty well by just two economic indicators.

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