Welcome to the final sprint of the 2026 midterm elections. The Senate will have its final week of session this week before it breaks. The House already left and canceled its final two weeks of votes in September.
Every midterm has a certain rhythm. Usually, the president’s party loses at least one chamber of Congress. Some governorships and state legislatures flip. The war in Iran and the subsequent cost of living crisis sent President Donald Trump’s approval rating nosediving. He is bleeding support among not just the Hispanic voters and young people who broke for him in 2024, but also white voters without college degrees.
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