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Barchart Insights

The Yen Carry Trade Could Spark Fireworks for US Markets This July 4. Here’s What Traders Need to Know.

The Japanese yen has collapsed to its weakest level against the US dollar ($DXY) in nearly 40 years, breaching 162 yen per dollar on June 30, 2026 to reach a level not seen since December 1986.

This historic decline represents the yen's fourth consecutive quarterly loss, its longest losing streak in four years, and has occurred despite Japan deploying approximately $72.5 billion in currency interventions between late April and late May and the Bank of Japan raising its benchmark interest rate to 1% on June 16 — the highest since 1995.

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