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Teri Monroe

The “WISeR” Gatekeeper: 6 States Where AI Now Decides If Your Medicare Surgery Is ‘Necessary’

Medicare new WISeR Model deciding if surgery is necessary
Image Source: Shutterstock

For decades, the biggest difference between “Original” Medicare and private Medicare Advantage plans was the lack of red tape. In the traditional program, if your doctor said you needed a procedure, you got it—no pre-approval required. However, on January 1, 2026, that fundamental pillar of the healthcare system was officially dismantled. Under a new federal pilot program called the Wasteful and Inappropriate Service Reduction (WISeR) Model, the government has introduced AI-driven “Prior Authorization” to traditional Medicare for the first time.

This program is not nationwide—at least not yet. Instead, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) has selected six specific states to act as the “proving ground” for a new era of automated medical oversight. If you live in one of these jurisdictions, your surgeon can no longer simply book an operating room. They must first convince an AI algorithm that your surgery meets a strict, data-driven definition of “medical necessity.”

1. The 6-State “Beta Test” for AI Approvals

The WISeR Model has been launched in six states: Arizona, New Jersey, Ohio, Oklahoma, Texas, and Washington. These regions were chosen because they represent a high volume of Medicare claims and a diverse mix of rural and urban healthcare providers. If you are a resident of one of these states and enrolled in Original Medicare (Part B), the rules of your coverage changed the moment the clock struck midnight on New Year’s Day.

According to the CMS Innovation Center, this is a six-year pilot program intended to run through 2031. The goal is to “crush fraud, waste, and abuse” by using machine learning to find claims that provide “little to no clinical benefit.” For the 6.4 million seniors living in these six states, your medical records are now being parsed by a digital “gatekeeper” before a single incision is made.

2. High-Risk Surgeries Under the Microscope

The AI isn’t reviewing every single doctor’s visit; it is focused on 17 specific “high-risk” procedures that the government believes are prone to overutilization. In the first year of the pilot, the focus is on orthopedic and neurological surgeries that have historically seen a spike in questionable billing. This includes knee arthroscopy for osteoarthritis, cervical fusions, and the implantation of electrical nerve stimulators.

As reported by Morningstar, these procedures were selected because they represent billions of dollars in “low-value care.” If you need a knee scope in Ohio or a spinal fusion in Texas, your doctor must now submit a mountain of evidence—including X-rays and failed physical therapy logs—to the AI platform. The algorithm then compares your data against thousands of similar cases to determine if the surgery is “justified” under Medicare’s 2026 guidelines.

3. The 72-Hour “Expedited” Window

One of the primary fears surrounding the WISeR Model is the potential for treatment delays. To address this, CMS has established strict timelines for these AI-driven decisions. Standard requests must be reviewed within seven calendar days, but “expedited” requests for urgent cases must receive a determination within 72 hours.

According to Benesch Law, the AI is intended to act as a “triage” tool to speed up approvals for clear-cut cases. If the algorithm sees that you’ve met all the clinical criteria, it can issue an immediate “green light.” However, if the data is messy or the criteria aren’t perfectly met, the claim is flagged for a more time-consuming manual review by a human clinician.

4. The Role of “Model Participants”

Who actually owns the AI that is making these decisions? In a controversial move, CMS has partnered with private technology companies—some of which are backed by major insurance carriers—to run the WISeR gatekeeping system. These “Model Participants” are incentivized with a share of the savings they generate for the federal government.

As noted by Jones Day, this has led to concerns about a conflict of interest. Critics argue that if an AI company makes more money by “averting expenditures,” they may be more inclined to set the algorithm’s thresholds for approval at an unreasonably high level. While CMS insists that every denial must be reviewed by a “qualified human clinician,” the initial AI screening sets the tone for the entire approval process.

5. Exclusions for Emergency Care

It is important to note that the WISeR Model is not intended to interfere with life-saving interventions. The 2026 rules explicitly exclude inpatient-only services and emergency procedures where a delay would pose a substantial risk to your health. If you are rushed to the hospital for a broken hip or a heart attack, the AI will not be standing in the way of your emergency surgery.

According to ASRA Pain Medicine, the program is focused strictly on elective, outpatient procedures. These are surgeries where you have time to plan and schedule the visit weeks in advance. The government believes that by slowing down these “optional” procedures, they can ensure that every dollar spent is backed by “best practices” and clinical evidence.

6. The “Gold Card” Exemption for Doctors

If your doctor has a long history of following Medicare’s rules, they may be able to bypass the AI gatekeeper entirely. CMS is implementing a “Gold Carding” system where providers who maintain a 90% approval rate on their prior authorizations are exempted from future reviews. This is a “reward” for doctors who consistently provide evidence-based care without over-billing the system.

As noted by Kiplinger, this system is intended to reduce administrative burden on the “good actors” while focusing the AI’s scrutiny on high-risk clinics. When you are choosing a surgeon in one of the six pilot states, it may be worth asking if their practice has “Gold Card” status. A surgeon who is exempt from the WISeR review can often get you into the operating room much faster than one who is still being audited by the algorithm.

Navigating the AI Frontier

The 2026 launch of the WISeR Model is a historic shift that brings the “efficiency” of private insurance to the traditional Medicare program. If you live in Arizona, New Jersey, Ohio, Oklahoma, Texas, or Washington, your path to surgery now involves a digital detour. To ensure your care isn’t delayed, work closely with your surgeon to ensure every “clinical checkbox” is marked before the request is submitted. In this new era of Medicare, the best way to beat the AI gatekeeper is to provide a “perfect” paper trail that leaves no doubt about your medical necessity.

Are you scheduled for a procedure in one of the six WISeR states, and has your doctor mentioned a new “prior authorization” requirement? Leave a comment below and share how the AI gatekeeper is impacting your care!

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