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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Comment
Simon Jenkins

The weather is terrible and the forecasts worse – why do we bother with holidays in August?

A tourist putting on a rain poncho on Westminster Bridge, London, 2 August 2023.
A tourist putting on a rain poncho on Westminster Bridge, London, 2 August 2023. Photograph: Amer Ghazzal/Shutterstock

If you had booked an August holiday in Britain 10 days ago, then heard the weather forecast, you probably would have taken the first train to Gatwick. The forecast for the following week was awful – for storms, clouds, rain and “unseasonably cold” weather. In other words, another typical August.

In the event the forecast was wildly inaccurate. Where I was on the Welsh coast, just one day passed without sun for all or part of the day. It did rain heavily for part of one day and there was the odd shower. It certainly was not hot. But a week on the beach was feasible, the sea blue and the sunsets glorious. That we saw relatively few visitors was entirely the result of the forecast, according to local businesses. One publican told me he can predict his takings each day not by the weather but by the 8am forecast. Yet it is so often wrong. The weather forecast is England’s economic sanction against Wales.

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