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Barchart
Jim Osman

The Stock Market Is Going To Crash, Or Is This Time Different?

I’ve been around for 35 years in the stock market, and I have seen many peaks and troughs. What I do know is that markets were set up to fool investors, so the golden rule from me is that you should always try to think 1-2 steps ahead and ignore what you see at a certain moment in time because, if you believe in the efficient market hypothesis theory, every piece of news flow is factored into every price. This includes markets as well as stocks. I know this can sometimes be hard to believe, but currently, a machine will process information far quicker than you ever will and act accordingly. Having information that you believe is going to happen that is already in the public domain is not an edge and you’ll likely lose if you base your investment thesis heavily on this. 

Several variables are causing the stock market to be very volatile right now. Some of the main causes of economic uncertainty are changes in interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and persistent global health issues. Additionally, the quick pace of technological advancement and the inconsistent reporting of business profitability continue to have an impact on market fluctuations. Additionally, investors are responding to global central banks' policy shifts that attempt to rein in inflation without limiting economic development. Stock prices have become more unpredictable due to this climate, which presents investors with both opportunities and challenges. As I mentioned in a recent talk, there is a duality of market volatility as both risk and opportunity. 

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