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Fortune
Fortune
Jason Dressel

The Jersey Pump Principle: why AI's trillion-dollar bet could stall like a 1949 gas pump law

gas (Credit: Kena Betancur/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Through the lens of Silicon Valley and Wall Street, the path forward for artificial intelligence looks entirely pre-ordained. Four dominant tech hyperscalers are on track to spend an unprecedented $650 billion on data centers and infrastructure this year alone.

A narrow group of AI enablers now carries nearly half the total value of the S&P 500 — some measures now put the AI-linked share closer to 50%–57%, meaning the concentration is arguably even more extreme than the headline number suggests — and the buildout has become so massive that it is driving the lion’s share of U.S. GDP growth. The overarching consensus in Silicon Valley and on Wall Street is clear: The technology works, and the capability is unprecedented; ergo, mass adoption is an inevitability.

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