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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
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Editorial

The Guardian view on Donald Trump’s oil deal: Venezuela pays for his vanity

Venezuela's Delcy Rodriguez sits in a gilded chair as a man signs document nearby
Venezuela’s interim president, Delcy Rodríguez, at the signing of an oil agreement with the US in Caracas, 2 September 2026. Photograph: Juan Barreto/AFP/Getty Images

Imperialism does not require a flag to be planted or a governor dispatched. It can be a powerful nation deciding who governs a smaller, weaker country, and on what terms and for whose benefit its resources will be developed. Donald Trump’s kidnapping of Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro, putting his deputy – Delcy Rodríguez – in his place as president, and then her signing a deal handing a fifth of the country’s proven oil reserves to the US, amount to a modern version of 19th-century gunboat diplomacy. Regime change supplied America’s commercial concession.

This won’t bother Mr Trump. But it should. The US president has oversold his neocolonial spoils. The additional production Venezuela is supposed to bring online might bring down oil prices eventually, but not anytime soon. Crucially, what Mr Trump calls “the biggest oil deal in history” won’t cause the price at the pump to fall before November’s midterms. When so many American voters are struggling to pay energy bills, it’s hard to see how unrealised Orinoco Belt riches are going to help Republican candidates.

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