It is hardly a case which requires Sherlock Holmes to crack it open.
The crumbs of evidence which hinted to Ellis Jenkins not being assured of his place in Wales' Six Nations starting XV were more like loaves in Wayne Pivac's post-squad announcement press conference.
When asked why it was Dan Biggar who was selected to lead Wales in their title defence, rather than Ellis Jenkins - the man who had captained Wales in their last two autumn fixtures - Pivac's answer made things pretty clear.