This week we have three receivers surpassing their benchmark numbers, one of the most overrated players in the league hitting Under once again, and one of the most dangerous red-zone receivers in the league scoring a touchdown.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
5
Carolina Panthers WR Adam Thielen OVER 45.5 receiving yards (-115)
In his two games since returning from injury, Thielen and Bryce Young have been on the same page, with Thielen catching 11 passes for 156 yards and a touchdown. He may need only five targets to top this number. Given the likelihood the Panthers will be trailing the Philadelphia Eagles by double digits at some point (perhaps early), Young and Thielen may be playing catch a lot.
4
Los Angeles Rams WR Puka Nacua scores a touchdown (+155)
Nacua has scored touchdowns in two of his last three games, primarily because he has been targeted 30 times in that span. Against the Buffalo Bills, a team that has scored 30 or more points in each of the last six games, the Rams will have to keep up with the freight train. To accomplish that, both Nacua and Cooper Kupp will need to be involved, especially in the red zone where touchdowns are needed.
3
Atlanta Falcons TE Kyle Pitts UNDER 32.5 receiving yards (-110)
If you bet Under on yardage in every game of Pitts’ career, you’ve made a lot of money. It was thought that Kirk Cousins’ arrival would finally make Pitts a star. Nope. In his last four games, Pitts has caught six passes and his yardage totals in three of them were 11, 9, and 0 yards. He can be single-covered and the Minnesota Vikings are going to come after Cousins. For a guy averaging three targets a game over the last four, that’s a hard sell.
2
San Francisco 49ers TE George Kittle OVER 4.5 receptions (-110)
The implosion of the 49ers is widely reported, but if they stand on business in games they should, they can still win the Mild, Mild West. With all the injuries that have taken out key offensive pieces, it’s hard to fathom Kittle won’t catch five against the Bears, much less getting a return on investment. Yes, please!
1
Cincinnati Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase OVER 79.5 receiving yards (-115)
This is a big number, but two of Chase’s three biggest games this season have been in primetime – against the Washington Commanders and the Baltimore Ravens. Those are likely playoff-bound teams. The Dallas Cowboys? Not so much. If you can get an O/U of 99.5 yards, take it.
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