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USA Today Sports Media Group
USA Today Sports Media Group
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Cletis Cutts

The 5 best NFL prop bets: NFL Week 11

This week, we’re looking for nothing but positivity – everybody gets a car! We have four players hitting the Over, including two elite players, a new face in a new place, and a very young reclamation project. To top it off, we have a player scoring a touchdown against a team he absolutely owns.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

5
San Francisco 49ers TE George Kittle scores a touchdown (+140)

Credit: Kelley L Cox-Imagn Images

Not only has Kittle scored a touchdown in six of his last seven games, the only game this season in which Kittle caught two TDs was the first meeting with the Seattle Seahawks. In his last five games against Seattle, Kittle has scored seven touchdowns, including three games with two TDs. Even the one game he didn’t score, he came close – catching six passes for 126 yards.

4
Indianapolis Colts QB Anthony Richardson OVER 39.5 rushing yards (-110)

Credit: Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images

In the four games this season in which Richardson has rushed six times or more times, he has topped this number three times. After being benched for Joe Flacco, Richardson is getting his shot at redemption against the New York Jets. His internal clock is going to be fast against an aggressive Jets front, and he is going to take off early and often. His career may be on the line, and he needs to accentuate what he does best – even if unscripted and on the fly.

3
Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson OVER 43.5 rushing yards (-115)

Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

Jackson saves his rushing best for the teams he believes he has to beat by himself if necessary. This year, he has topped this number against the Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns. He has played the Pittsburgh Steelers only four times in 10 games since 2019 and has topped this number every time. All it takes is one all-out blitz that Jackson escapes to get most of this number on a single play.

2
Minnesota Vikings WR Justin Jefferson OVER 78.5 receiving yards (-115)

Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports

Jefferson has topped this number in seven of the last eight games. The one game he didn’t was last week. He comes up against a Tennessee Titans defense that is 2-7 for multiple reasons. There’s not a lot Tennessee’s defense can do against arguably the best receiver in the league. Coming off his least productive week of the season, consider a yardage boost, because he will be targeted 10 times or more.

1
Green Bay Packers RB Josh Jacobs OVER 70.5 rushing yards (-110)

Credit: Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images

The Chicago Bears allow 133 rushing yards a game on the ground. Jacobs has topped this number in each of the last three games despite having just 50 rushing attempts. The strength of Chicago’s defense is against the pass, which has them more than ready for Caleb Williams. Jacobs may get 25-plus carries. In the two games he has 20 or more carries? Jacobs has rushed for 151 and 127 yards. Be happy you’re getting -110 instead of -115.


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