The Texas Senate race is in a dead heat as we head toward the final stretch of the election cycle. Per USA Today, a new poll released by N+ Univision shows Democrat state Rep. James Talarico holding a narrow 48% to 43% lead over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton. With 7% of voters still undecided, the landscape is pretty volatile in the days leading up to the Republican midterm convention in Texas.
The N+ Univision surveyed 1000 registered voters and found some surprising statistics for the traditionally red state. In fact, Republicans have held the seat for more than three decades, with the last democrat holding the seat in 1993. USA Today noted that Texas voters have moved 8 points toward Democrats since the 2024 election. The shift is even more pronounced among Hispanic voters, who have moved 11 points in that same direction.