Texas Senator Ted Cruz seems to be on the way to retain his seat in the November elections, as the latest polls show him with a relevant lead over his contender, Rep. Collin Allred. However, it is far from a done deal.
FiveThirtyEight's survey aggregator shows that, in the latest study, published in mid-July, the incumbent has an eight-point lead over Allred. The previous poll, from June 30, has a wider, 10-point lead among the 589 likely voters who answered the survey.
It is worth noting, however, that the difference narrowed when polls had a larger pool of respondents. A June 20 study by YouGov, which featured 1,484 likely voters, still had Cruz in the lead, but by three percentage points (47% to 44%).
Another one by the University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research, which polled 1,144 registered voters, featured a 43% to 39% scenario.
As the elections are less than 100 days away, Allred has began to spearhead a new initiative to gain support. Dubbed a "Texas Offense," in reference to his past as an NFL linebacker, Allred is set to increase investments and campaign appearances with this purpose.
"On Nov. 5, I'm going to defeat Ted Cruz," Allred said last Sunday at a campaign rally to mark 100 days before the polls.
Allred will have his work cut out for him. Cruz continues to lead in the polls and, according to ABC 13, has about $2 million more in cash to spend in the campaign. Allred, on his end, has been raising more funds than his predecessor, Beto O'Rourke, whose campaign garnered national attention but ended up losing against Cruz by three percentage points.
Allred still has a chance to continue growing, as his name recognition across the state is still below 80%, compared to Cruz's 97%. "As a congressman from Dallas, he wasn't well-known in the rest of the state, but as a result of winning the primary and months of campaigning and advertising, his name ID has increased, and support has nudged up by five points." Michael Adams, director of the Executive Master of Public Administration graduate program at TSU, said in a press release accompanying a recent poll.
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