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Sports Illustrated
Sports Illustrated
Sport
Pat Forde

Swimming Medal Predictions: Team USA Faces Tough Test at Paris Olympics

Katie Ledecky will be among the usually dominant Americans to be challenged by international stars in Paris. | Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

Alarm bells have been ringing around USA Swimming for a year now, since Australia won 13 gold medals to America’s seven at the 2023 World Championships. Was this a sign of star-spangled decline, a sign of an international surge, or a correctable blip?

Perhaps all of the above. For the first time since 1945, no U.S. swimmer set a world record in 2023 in either long-course or short-course meters. Meanwhile, 17 world records were taken down, which is an indication of the world collectively getting faster.

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