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The Guardian - US
The Guardian - US
Business
Anna Betts in New York

Surging prediction markets face legal backlash in US: ‘Lines have been blurred’

digital billboards titled 'Kalshi' showing betting odds for an election outside an arena
Billboard advertise betting odds for the 2024 US presidential election outside Madison Square Garden in New York City on 27 October 2024. Photograph: Julius Constantine Motal/EPA

State lawmakers and gaming regulators across the US are escalating their fight against prediction markets, arguing that the fast-growing platforms are “basically gambling but with another name”.

At least 20 federal lawsuits have been filed nationwide, disputing whether companies such as Kalshi and Polymarket should be treated as federally regulated financial exchanges, as they maintain, or as gambling operations that should be regulated like state-licensed sportsbooks.

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