A month can be a very long time in football. Rewind to the beginning of April and Leeds United's collective tails was up, with Javi Gracia side having secured vital wins against Wolves and Nottingham Forest as it looked like the new boss had steadied the ship and the club began to pull away from the drop zone.
This newfound confidence was reflected by data analysts FiveThirtyEight, who crunched the numbers on April 5 - a day after Leeds' 2-1 win over Forest - and found that Gracia's side had just a ten per cent chance of going down. They forecast a 13th-place finish - in line with Andrea Radrizzani's pre-season expectations - and an end-of-season total of 40 points.
And all looked good shortly before the half-time break against Crystal Palace in Leeds' next outing, only for an Eagles equaliser before the break to be followed by four second-half goals which began a run of four defeats in five games that cost Gracia his job.
