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Barchart

Rich Asplund

Sugar Prices Rally on Forecast for Sugar Deficit in Early 2025

Deficit India Wilmar International Brazil Drought London Thailand the Indian Sugar and Bioenergy Manufacturers Association USDA

March NY world sugar #11 (SBH25) today is up +0.67 (+3.08%), and December London ICE white sugar #5 (SWZ24) is up +12.30 (+2.19%).

Sugar prices today are trading higher after Wilmar International, one of the world's largest sugar traders, said the sugar market faces a "huge risk of a shortage of Brazilian sugar" in the first half of 2025 due to low Brazilian inventories and a late start to the 2025-2026 season due to recent drought conditions that impacted cane development. Similarly, Rabobank on Sep 20 cut its 2024/25 Brazil sugar production forecast to 39.3 MMT from a previous forecast of 40.3 MMT, citing excessive dryness.

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