NEW YORK — The special election on Tuesday between two upstate New York county executives for a Hudson Valley congressional seat might seem like a recipe for a midsummer snooze fest.
Democrat Pat Ryan and Republican Marc Molinaro are battling to fill the few months left in the term of ex-Rep. Antonio Delgado, who resigned from the NY-19 seat to become lieutenant governor, and voter turnout is likely to be very low thanks to a late August election.
But political trend observers warn not to sleep on the NY-19 race. That’s because special elections — as opposed to primaries or races with an incumbent — have a strong record of predicting the results of upcoming general elections.