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Hartmut Winkler, Professor of Physics, University of Johannesburg

South Africa's power crisis will continue until 2025 - and blackouts will take 5 years to phase out

A power outage stops play during a match between two leading rugby teams in Pretoria in early June. Photo by Johan Rynners/Gallo Images/Getty Images

South Africa is in the middle of a severe electricity crisis, with enforced power cuts that have worsened every year. Electricity is sometimes unavailable for 10 hours a day. The shortfall is the consequence of frequent breakdowns at its ageing coal power plants, which constitute 74% of the country’s generating capacity.

In theory, improving the performance and reliability of the existing coal plants would resolve the power crisis. This remedy is promoted in some quarters. But it’s easier said than done. To function satisfactorily, many of the plants would require a complete overhaul, which would be both time consuming and prohibitively costly.

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