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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Larry Elliott

Six things to watch in 2024 global economy, from tax cuts to AI

composite of four photos
Clockwise from top left: Bank of England, Jeremy Hunt, generative AI and USS Carney on patrol in the Suez Canal. Composite: PA/Getty

Recession, stagflation, a cost of living crisis, damaged public finances and higher interest rates. The four years since a new deadly virus spread around the world from the Chinese city of Wuhan has been a catalogue of woe for the global economy. 2023 has been the first year since 2019 to be relatively shock-free, in the sense that there has been no repeat of the pandemic of 2020, the supply-chain bottlenecks of 2021 or the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The financial repercussions of conflict in Israel have, until this point, been limited to the region. But that may change. The global economy is still not in a good place as 2024 dawns. Here are a few things to look out for in the year ahead.

1. Central banks start to cut interest rates

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