Two weeks into the U.S. government shutdown, traders are beginning to price in the uncomfortable possibility that Washington's gridlock could drag on long enough to break records, bringing with it a cascade of economic and financial consequences.
According to Kalshi, a betting platform regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the current odds project the shutdown to last 34.5 days, teetering on the edge of surpassing the 35-day shutdown of 2018-2019, the longest in U.S. history.
