The Los Angeles Times' NFL writer, Sam Farmer, examines this week's matchups. Lines according to FanDuel Sportsbook (O/U = over/under). Last week's record 11-5 (.688); season 148-90-2 (.622). Using point spreads with the scores Farmer predicted, the record against the spread last week would have been 7-9 (.438); season 113-121-6 (.483).
Times Pacific.
Colts (4-10-1) at Giants (8-6-1)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Giants by 5 1/2. O/U: 38 1/2.
The Giants have incentive to win and quarterback Daniel Jones is playing well. Despite spending all of that money on their offensive line, the Colts are having trouble moving the ball.
Prediction: Giants 21, Colts 10
Jaguars (7-8) at Texans (2-12-1)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Jaguars by 4 1/2. O/U: 43 1/2.
The Texans are scary. They beat the Titans last week and the two weeks before that played the Cowboys and the Chiefs close. Jacksonville should win, but this one figures to be tight.
Prediction: Jaguars 24, Texans 20
Broncos (4-11) at Chiefs (12-3)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Chiefs by 12 1/2. O/U: 44 1/2.
Often, a team that just fired its coach has the edge. But in this case, the Chiefs have too much — and too much incentive to win, with the No. 1 seed still in play. Lots of Patrick Mahomes in this matchup.
Prediction: Chiefs 35, Broncos 17
Dolphins (8-7) at Patriots (7-8)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Patriots by 3. O/U: 41 1/2.
Miami handled the Patriots pretty easily in the opener but a lot has changed since, including having lost four in a row, and it appears Teddy Bridgewater will be behind center. Yet, defense is the difference.
Prediction: Dolphins 21, Patriots 17
Browns (6-9) at Commanders (7-7-1)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Commanders by 1 1/2. O/U: 40 1/2.
Washington still has a playoff pulse, and Chase Young is back for the defense. Cleveland has scored 10, 13 and 10 in its last three games with Deshaun Watson. Washington should win.
Prediction: Commanders 21, Browns 13
Cardinals (4-11) at Falcons (5-10)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Falcons by 3. O/U: 42 1/2.
The Falcons should be able to run it a bit on Arizona if they stick with it. Atlanta will give up some yards passing, but not if it's Trace McSorley at quarterback for the Cardinals. They need Colt McCoy.
Prediction: Falcons 24, Cardinals 20
Bears (3-12) at Lions (7-8)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Lions by 5 1/2. O/U: 52 1/2.
The Lions are due for a bounce-back after an embarrassing performance at Carolina. The Bears have some reason for excitement with the way Justin Fields has played, but they've lost eight in a row.
Prediction: Lions 30, Bears 20
Saints (6-9) at Eagles (13-2)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Eagles by 6. O/U: 43 1/2.
Yes, they lost at Dallas, but the Eagles made it interesting with Gardner Minshew at QB. The Saints have topped 20 points in two of their last seven games. Philadelphia has too much offense.
Prediction: Eagles 28, Saints 20
Panthers (6-9) at Buccaneers (7-8)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Buccaneers by 3. O/U: 40 1/2.
Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay offense are stuck in the mud. The Buccaneers should be getting a couple of players back on defense. Still, Carolina has some confidence and can run the ball.
Prediction: Panthers 20, Buccaneers 17
Jets (7-8) at Seahawks (7-8)
Sunday, 1:05 p.m.
Line: Jets by 1 1/2. O/U: 42 1/2.
Mike White is back at quarterback for the Jets, and Seattle should have a difficult time generating a pass rush. Could be a big day for rookie receiver Garrett Wilson. Still not easy to win in Seattle.
Prediction: Jets 24, Seahawks 21
49ers (11-4) at Raiders (6-9)
Sunday, 1:05 p.m.
Line: 49ers by 10. O/U: 41 1/2.
Brock Purdy is remarkably poised and keeps making the correct throws. George Kittle is particularly dangerous, and Christian McCaffrey is in line for a huge day against the Las Vegas defense.
Prediction: 49ers 31, Raiders 18
Rams (5-10) at Chargers (9-6)
Sunday, 1:25 p.m.
Line: Chargers by 6 1/2. O/U: 40 1/2.
The Chargers are getting healthy and hot at the right time. The Rams had an unexpectedly prolific performance against Denver, but it's going to be hard to keep that up against a capable opponent.
Prediction: Chargers 28, Rams 20
Vikings (12-3) at Packers (7-8)
Sunday, 1:25 p.m.
Line: Packers by 3. O/U: 48 1/2.
This is an NFC North matchup and figures to be close. The Vikings are 11-0 in one-score games. The Vikings are vulnerable on defense, but the banged-up Packers might not have enough to exploit that.
Prediction: Vikings 23, Packers 20
Steelers (7-8) at Ravens (10-5)
Sunday, 5:20 p.m.
Line: Ravens by 2 1/2. O/U: 35 1/2.
The Steelers have won four of five, although they've done so despite generating little offense. They scored 13 points against Las Vegas, and they'll be facing a Baltimore defense that's better than that.
Prediction: Ravens 21, Steelers 17
Bills (12-3) at Bengals (11-4)
Monday, 5:30 p.m.
Line: Bills by 1 1/2. O/U: 49 1/2.
There's something to Joe Burrow in big games, and the Bengals have won seven in a row. Injuries along the defensive line hurt Cincinnati, but the home team might just hang on.
Prediction: Bengals 27, Bills 24
