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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
World
Dan Sabbagh Defence and security editor

Russia can keep fighting Ukraine war throughout 2026, says military thinktank

Russian soldiers patrol an area in the Kursk region
Russian soldiers on patrol in the Kursk region. Moscow is using the war to develop new battle tactics, missiles and attack drones, the thinktank said. Photograph: AP

Russia will be able to sustain its invasion of Ukraine throughout 2026 even allowing for emerging economic and manpower pressures, while its missile and drone threat to Europe is growing, according to a leading military thinktank.

Bastian Giegerich, the director general of the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said there was “little indication” that “Russia’s ability to continue its war against Ukraine for a fifth year is diminished”.

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