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The Economic Times
The Economic Times

Rupee drops to 95.76 vs USD on dollar demand from oil cos, nearly erases RBI-led gains

The Indian rupee ​dropped against the U.S. dollar ​on Thursday, almost wiping out gains from the central ​bank's measures to attract dollar inflows, as weak Asian cues and persistent dollar demand from oil firms weighed.

The rupee opened lower at 95.52 per U.S. dollar ‌and stayed under ⁠pressure since ⁠then, with bankers pointing to sustained dollar demand, particularly from oil companies, alongside usual ​mid-month flows.

The currency ended at 95.76, down 0.5%, barely holding on to any of ​the gain notched on Friday.

"The dollar had weakened post the release of yesterday's U.S. inflation data, but reversed its weakness after news ​of escalation of conflict between U.S. and Iran," ⁠Dhaval Shah, founder ‌and managing director, De-Risk Forex Consultancy.

"Despite such ​strikes and ​a lapse of the ceasefire, we assess the war ⁠to be on a de-escalatory path as indicated by neutral ​reaction of many financial assets, mainly oil."

U.S. strikes ​on Iran overnight dented hopes of a broader resolution to the conflict. In response, Iran said it would shut the Strait of Hormuz and conducted counter-attacks on U.S. military targets in Kuwait and Bahrain.

Iran closing the strait is a reversal from recent weeks, when Iran ‌had allowed limited transit for ships from friendly nations.

Benchmark Brent crude rose more than 2% earlier in the ​day before trimming ​gains to trade ⁠marginally lower.

Shah said the recent upmove in USD/INR was a corrective rally, and added that a reversal will likely begin, with the pair easing ​to around 93.50 levels, supported by favourable RBI measures.

U.S. inflation data had limited impact on currency moves. Headline inflation rose to 4.2% on-year, its highest in over three years, while a softer-than-expected core reading kept near-term Federal Reserve rate expectations largely unchanged.

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