Scotland has been told that three points might still be enough to qualify for the next round of the World Cup, according to a popular analytics account on social media.
On Friday, Steve Clarke's side were narrowly defeated 1-0 by Morocco, a result that leaves them with three points after two games played.
🚥 The needle on what will be needed to qualify as one of the 8 best thirds has not moved too much since the start of the tournament. 3⃣ pts and a goal difference in low negatives is still expected to be enough. 👉 Team-specific probabilities and scenarios for 3rd place… pic.twitter.com/1XtsG0Hq7n
— Football Meets Data (@fmeetsdata) June 19, 2026
Their final game against Brazil takes place in Miami on Wednesday night, with both Carlo Ancelotti's side and Morocco both sitting on four points, due to the South American nation's 3-0 win over Haiti.
Now, with the increased likelihood of Scotland finishing third in Group C, Football Meets Data has outlined the current percentages regarding best-placed teams in that position.
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Should they pick up a point against Brazil, they would have a 99.99 per cent chance of reaching the next round, while a one-goal defeat to the Selecao gives them an 84.9 per cent probability of qualification as things stand.
A two-goal loss sees this percentage drop to 72.1 per cent, while heavier losses equate to 56.6, 43.3 and 34.9 per cent, respectively.
Scotland kick off against Brazil at 11pm UK time in Miami.
