All signs are pointing towards the Boston Red Sox heavily selling before the trade deadline on Kalshi, with both Aroldis Chapman and Sonny Gray as the top two pitchers on the prediction market board most likely to be moved. Chapman is far more likely to be traded than Gray.
Chapman sits at the second-highest price on Kalshi's trade market at 71%, while Gray is priced at 52%. Champman’s price has been above 70% for over a month, while Gray has leveled around the 50% mark.