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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Larry Elliott Economics editor

Recession: the price Britain will pay to control inflation

women in 1970s with placards about cost of groceries
An activist, Erin Pizzey, addresses a protest by women in England in July 1971 against rising food prices. Photograph: Evening Standard/Getty Images

Unemployment rising. Inflation above 10%. Energy prices soaring. Living standards squeezed. The message from the Bank of England was crystal clear: the 1970s are back.

The word stagflation was not to be found in the 100-plus pages of Threadneedle Street’s monetary policy report. Yet a period of weak growth and rapidly rising prices is precisely what the Bank says is in store for the UK. The current post-lockdown bounce will be short-lived and, in a real blast from the past, the economy will be driven into recession to bring inflation under control.

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