In tracking the likely trajectory of geopolitics in the next 12 months, a blend of hope and realism may be the best yardstick. The past year witnessed a continuation of the polycrisis that began with the new decade, manifest in the COVID-19 pandemic, global economic slowdown, Russia-Ukraine war, sharpening climate challenges, escalating debt burden for developing countries, and the Israel-Hamas conflict. Will the world get some relief and traverse a shiny patch? Or will the situation be worse before it gets better? Predictions are often unreliable. But what can be offered is an informed reading of where we stand today to determine where we may arrive in December 2024.
This analysis presents an objective Indian perspective, infused with a sense of history. It is anchored in the conviction that India’s recent record of speedy economic growth drives its proactive diplomacy aimed at ending conflicts by utilising dialogue and negotiations as the preferred path to peace and prosperity.
