ANALYSIS — Three months after Inside Elections shifted a dozen House race ratings toward Democrats, nine more are moving the same way as Republicans look to defend their narrow House majority.
The national atmosphere remains tough for the GOP. Historical midterm trends, President Donald Trump’s negative job approval rating and consistent Democratic overperformances in races around the country point to Democrats gaining at least the three seats they need to flip control of the House.
But while an analysis of individual House races shows Republicans have an opportunity to maintain control of the chamber, the continued shift in the makeup of the House battleground suggests that Democratic gains are likely.
