Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew heads to Chepstow and Kempton (AW) for his three stats-based selections on Wednesday, November 6th…
2.20 CHEPSTOW
NOW OR NEVER (system – Venetia Williams, handicap chasers in November)
Venetia Williams does extremely well with her handicap chasers in the month of November, scoring with 127 of the 633 qualifiers this century for a profit of £206.59 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 94.18, A/E = 1.35). NOW OR NEVER struggled in handicap hurdle company last term but would have needed time to acclimatise after leaving France, where he had form over fences. The five-year-old will be suited by the return to the larger obstacles and looks worth changing at odds of around 7-1 or bigger.
KEMPTON 3.25
HELMSLEY (system – New Bay 2yos, second start)
Juvenile progeny of the sire New Bay have a good record on their second start, landing 32 of their 135 starts (23.7%) for a profit of £90.69 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 23.65, A/E = 1.35). Ralph Beckett’s HELMSLEY blew the start and ran green when sixth over course and distance on last month’s debut and can take a big step forward this afternoon.
CHEPSTOW 3.30
BALLYDANGAN (system – Dan Skelton stable switchers, handicap hurdles)
Dan Skelton has a good record at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other trainers, especially in handicap hurdles. He’s won with 46 of the 151 qualifiers (30.5%) for a profit of £20.70 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 33.99, A/E = 1.35). BALLYDANGAN, a 15-race maiden in Ireland, changed hands cheaply last September but has had a wind operation since we last saw him and could go well at an each-way price.
Check out the best horse racing betting sites in the UK right now.
New Customers – Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets with BetUK
Over at online bookie BetUK, there’s a neat new customer offer where punters can sign up and get £30 in free bets after betting £10. Here are all the details:
- New customers aged 18 or over opt in and stake £10+ on any sporting event.
- The minimum odds for a qualifying bet are 1/2 (1.50).
- Once the qualifying bet settles 3x £10 free bets will be awarded to your account.
- Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with odds of 3/10 (1.30) or greater.
- Void, cashed out, partially cashed out bets do not qualify.
- Each Way bets, system bets and profit boost are not permitted for qualifying bet.
- Free bets expire after 7 days of the qualifying bet settling, are non-withdrawable and stakes not returned with winnings.
- Further terms and conditions apply.
Related
- There is more from Andrew Mount every day on SportsCasting
- Check out more horse racing news on the site with regular updates
- See Andy Newton’s ‘Lay Of The Day’ daily horse racing feature
