Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew was among the winners again at Leicester on Monday and has three stats-based selections on Tuesday, November 19th…
LINGFIELD 11.40
PERSHALLA (system – Amanda Perrett, second time out 2yos, AW)
Amanda Perrett has a solid record with juveniles on the all-weather who here having their second career outing, scoring with 19 of the 95 qualifiers for a profit of £90.01 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 9.85, A/E = 1.93). Twenty-eight of the beaten horses also made the frame, often at big prices, and an each-way approach could pay dividends where PERHSALLA is concerned in this 1m restricted novice contest. The filly finished a creditable 14-1 seventh of 12 at Newmarket on her debut last month, doing second best of those to come from off the pace.
FAKENHAM 1.25
LASER FOCUS (system – hurdle winners, quick return in a handicap hurdle, speed adjusted)
Last-time out hurdle winners do well when bidding to follow up in a handicap hurdle within a week of their victory and, since the start of 2012, those who were ranked in the top two on Proform’s last time out speed ratings were 230 from 491 (46.8% strike-rate) for a profit of £76.94 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 192.33, A/E = 1.20, not including two winners from two qualifiers on this system yesterday). The James Owen-trained LASER FOCUS won’t be much of a price but bolted up at Huntingdon seven days ago and can follow up.
CARLISLE 2.40
BRIDGE COURT (system – Sandy Thomson, second run for the yard)
Sandy Thomson has a fine record at the second time of asking with horses he acquires from other trainers, scoring with 16 of the 62 qualifiers since the beginning of 2017 for a profit of £102.13 to a £1 level stake at SP. BRIDGE COURT took a step forward on last month’s stable debut when a 20-1 fourth of ten at Kelso on his first start since leaving Mike Smith’s care and first since February and can go three places better.
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Related
- There is more from Andrew Mount every day on SportsCasting
- Check out more horse racing news on the site with regular updates
- See Andy Newton’s ‘Lay Of The Day’ daily horse racing feature
