Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew heads to the jumps meetings at Thurles and Taunton for his two stats-based selections on Thursday, November 28th…
THURLES 12.40
EMBASSY GARDENS (system – small-field preference)
EMBASSY GARDENS is the Willie Mullins third string according to the betting for this 2m6f Listed chase, but he runs well when fresh and might be able to cause a minor upset on his reappearance. Since his attention was switched to obstacles the eight-year-old has shown a preference for small fields, recording form figures in fields of six or fewer runners of 111 (3-3), including a wide-margin course win.
TAUNTON 2.00
MOODOFTHEMOMENT (system – Matt Sheppard, handicap chases)
Simply backing all Matt Sheppard-trained runners in handicap chases would have found 73 winners from 430 bets (17% strike-rate) for a profit of £130.46 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 48.21, A/E = 1.51). The six qualifiers this month have recorded form figures of 121312 (3-6) for a profit of £10.50 and the hat-trick seeking MOODOFTHEMOMENT looks the one to support in this novices’ handicap chase.
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Related
- There is more from Andrew Mount every day on SportsCasting
- Check out more horse racing news on the site with regular updates
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