Racing Tips: Andrew Mount's Spreadex Analysis - Friday, November 29th - Sportscasting UK

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.

The great thing about Spreadex is that offers both normal fixed odds betting plus spread betting on horse racing. There are some key differences, of course, between this form of gambling and placing regular fixed odds bets.

Make the right call and punters could win big, but the potential to lose money can be much higher. Intrigued? Then check out this how to spread bet on horse racing guide:

The action hots up on Friday after a quiet week and Andrew heads to Newbury and Dundalk for his three recommended bets/trades on Friday, November 29th…

NEWBURY 1.20

HOLYWELL steps up in class to Listed level after her five-length 11-1 fifth of 12 in a maiden hurdle at Ludlow on her debut but Jane Williams has done well in these circumstances previously and the three-year-old is likely to take a big step forward. The Devon handler has only stepped five horses up to Listed or Graded level for their second career start in the past five years and all have performed with credit…

SAINT SEGAL 2^nd 13-2 (Grade 1)

KNIGHT OF ALLEN 2^nd 9-2 (Listed)

AUTHOCELTIC 3^rd 7-1 (Grade 2)

KEL DU LARGE 1^st 7-2 (Listed)

EXCELERO 4^th 25-1 (Grade 2)

…that’s a small sample size but it was a similar story when she was training in partnership with her ex-husband Nick Williams, whose name was on the licence (Reve De Sivola, a horse I had a share in, built massively built on his debut 25-length sixth in a maiden hurdle at Chepstow when a 40-1 third of 15 in Grade 2 company on his second start). Holywell clocked a respectable speed figure for that debut effort (the fourth best last time out rating according to Proform) and looks worth a speculative interest. Buy in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market or take a fixed odds price.

Recommendation: Back HOLYWELL in Newbury 1.20

NEWBURY 3.40

Paul Nicholls is in fine form, but the majority of his November winners had the benefit of a recent outing, whereas those coming back from at least 90 days off the track have under-performed as a group. Since the beginning of October, backing the yard’s runners off a break of 90+ days would have found just nine winners from 63 bets (14.3% strike-rate) for a loss of £39.46 to a £1 level stake at SP (-58% on turnover). The handicappers were just two from 34 (-£28.25) and that’s one strike against LARGY POET in this 3m handicap hurdle. The other negative is the left-handed track, as the five-year-old tends to jump/hang to the right and both his wins have come when racing on right-handed tracks (at Exeter and Wincanton). He only went down by a head at right-handed Huntingdon on April 1^st when we last saw him but was disappointing in a bumper at left-handed Ffos Las on his seasonal debut last term (fourth of six when 5-4 second favourite) and was beaten by 11 lengths when runner-up in a maiden hurdle at left-handed Chepstow next time. He was campaigned exclusively on right-handed tracks after that defeat and looks vulnerable here. Sell in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market.

Recommendation: Oppose LARGY POET in Newbury 3.40

DUNDALK 7.30

There’s plenty of early pace on offer in this 5f apprentice handicap from CLARINBRIDGE (stall 10 of 12), LIVINGSTON RANGE (stall 6), REALTIN FANTASY (stall 4) and SAM’S XPRESS (stall 7) and the race is likely to be set up for a closer. This was the case in last year’s inaugural running of this contest when the winner, third and fourth all came from midfield or further back (runner-up Havana Notion excelled in finishing so close under a prominent ride and won shortly afterwards at odds of 11-2). The one to take advantage could be last year’s winner SENADO SQUARE (stall 11) who was generously dropped 3lb for his ninth of 14 over 6f here under a 10lb claimer last month. He’s 10lb higher than when successful in this last 12 months ago but is only 1lb above his last winning mark and it’s good to see regular rider Cian Horgan back in the plate. Buy in the Spreadex 50-30-20-10 market or take a fixed odds price.

Recommendation: Back SENADO SQAURE in Dundalk 7.30

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All of the most popular horse racing spread betting markets like Winning Favourites, the 50-30-20-10 Race Index, Winning Distances, Favourites and Squared Numbers are included. When it comes sports spread betting sites in the UK today, Spreadex are number one. Check out SportsCasting every day for more horse racing spread betting tips from Andrew Mount, complete with detailed analysis.

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