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Fortune
Fortune
Jordan Blum

President Trump stands ready to send U.S. Big Oil into Venezuela en masse, but the reality is messy and rebuilding a ruined industry takes many years

US President Donald Trump, alongside Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, speaks to the press following US military actions in Venezuela, at his Mar-a-Lago residence in Palm Beach, Florida, on Jan. 3. Trump said U.S. forces had captured Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro after launching a "large scale strike" on the South American country. (Credit: (Photo by Jim WATSON / AFP via Getty Images))

President Donald Trump says American Big Oil “want to go in so badly” into Venezuela and spend billions of dollars, but the reality is U.S. oil producers are hesitant, and it will take many years and many tens of billions of dollars to rebuild Venezuela’s decimated oil sector after the U.S forcibly removed and arrested leader Nicolás Maduro during a string of attacks on Jan. 3.

More than doubling Venezuela’s current oil production likely would take until 2030 and cost about $110 billion, said research firm Rystad Energy, arguing that bringing Venezuela—home to the world’s largest known oil reserves—back to its previous highs would take even longer. Venezuela’s current oil flows of roughly 900,000 barrels daily are about one-third of its volumes at the turn of the century thanks to mismanagement, labor strikes, sanctions, and financial woes.

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