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Fortune
Fortune
Eva Roytburg

Powell cuts rates in the dark in historic move, with no jobs data and Trump heckling from abroad

Jerome Powell, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, during the Federal Reserve Board open meeting in Washington, DC, US, on Friday, Oct. 24, 2025. (Credit: Al Drago—Bloomberg/Getty Images)

The Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point on Wednesday, a widely anticipated move that comes amid a worsening data blackout, a cooling labor market, and relentless political pressure from President Donald Trump.

The decision brings the Fed’s policy rate down to roughly 3.75% to 4.0%—its lowest level in three years—and marks the second rate cut since Trump’s return to office. Markets had fully priced in the move: CME’s FedWatch tool showed a near-100% probability of a 25-basis-point reduction heading into the meeting.

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