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Potential Tropical Storm Developing In Western Caribbean Or Gulf

This satellite image provided by NOAA shows Tropical Storm Helene in the Caribbean Sea on Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2024. (NOAA via AP)

A potential storm is brewing in the western Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico, following closely on the heels of Helene. However, unlike Helene, this new system may face more challenges in its development.

The National Hurricane Center has identified a large and disorganized area of low pressure with showers and storms over the western Caribbean. There is a medium chance that this system could evolve into a tropical storm within the next seven days.

Large, disorganized area of low pressure identified by National Hurricane Center.
New system forming in western Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico.
Medium chance of evolving into a tropical storm within seven days.

Environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for gradual development, with the possibility of a tropical depression forming later this week or over the weekend while the system moves over the southern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea. Helene, the previous storm, originated in the northwestern Caribbean about a week ago.

Weather models are indicating the potential formation of a tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico early next week, although it is still too early to make definitive predictions. Until a distinct area of low pressure materializes, forecast models for the potential storm are likely to vary widely in terms of strength and projected path.

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