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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Jillian Ambrose Energy correspondent

Polymarket and other prediction platforms driving oil market, traders say

A man walks through payment barriers for the New York subway which are covered in adverts for the prediction market Polymarket
One energy trader said Polymarket had become the best predictor of the oil market’s direction since the Iran war broke out, but others are concerned about insider trading. Photograph: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Online betting platforms are directly driving the global oil market as they increasingly rely on anonymous prediction markets to determine multimillion-dollar trades, energy traders have warned.

Market experts have said that datafeeds from prediction platforms such as Polymarket are being used to create the algorithms that influence trading in the global Brent crude futures market.

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