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The Conversation
The Conversation
Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

Polls show federal Labor losing support; One Nation looking strong in Farrer seat poll

Labor One Nation Coalition Donald Trump Greens Angus Taylor Sussan Ley Morgan Resolve Farrer

It’s over two weeks since the United States and Israel began their war on Iran. In the federal Resolve and Morgan polls, Labor has lost support to the Greens and Others, although YouGov has Labor’s vote up one point. Left-wing voters would like Anthony Albanese to oppose the war.

One Nation is ahead of the Coalition in all three polls, and it appears the switch in Liberal leadership from Sussan Ley to Angus Taylor has had no lasting impact. Last Wednesday Matt Canavan was elected Nationals leader in a party room spill after former leader David Littleproud resigned the previous day.

The total vote for the Coalition and One Nation was 45–46% in these polls, and it appears to have stalled at this level. Labor would win an election comfortably on current polls, against either the Coalition or One Nation.

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