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The Guardian - AU
The Guardian - AU
National
Benita Kolovos

Polls, preferences, potential defections: can Victoria’s Liberal party ward off the rising threat of One Nation?

Jess Wilson, the Victorian Liberal party’s leader, in 2025
Victorian Liberal party leader Jess Wilson. Photograph: Ye Myo Khant/SOPA Images/Shutterstock

While internal divisions have long been the Victorian Liberal party’s main obstacle to winning government, a new threat is emerging on its right flank: One Nation.

Just four years ago, One Nation received just 8,077 lower house first-preference votes out of more than 3.6m cast in Victoria – equivalent to 0.22% of the total – and won a single seat in the upper house.

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